The Energy Stream Analysis Method for Integrated Energy Systems

Abstract

This research presents a novel method for analyzing energy flows in integrated energy systems (IES) using a likelihood-based approach. The proposed method incorporates the concept of Probabilistic Load Flow (PLF) from power systems into the analysis of IES likelihood energy flow points. By assessing the qualitative impact of uncertainties on the probability distribution of the state quantities in integrated energy systems encompassing electricity, air, and heat, this method enables a comprehensive evaluation of the load and output of wind electric fields. The outcomes of this research contribute to establishing a solid foundation for real-time network planning, steady-state analysis, optimized operation, control, and safety analysis of integrated energy systems.