Development of a New Model for Population Prediction in Anambra State, Nigeria

Abstract

This paper was motivated by the desire to develop a new model for National Population Commission in Anambra state for better prediction. Population demographic analysis are calculated with specified formula using non-free software, this makes it difficult for researchers to access data, Census also Census figures are calculated without any mining of patterns or trends of existing demographic information. These are the gaps this research paper covers.The system is a desktop application based on states and behaviours of objects. It was approached with the Object-Oriented Analysis and Design Methodology and implemented with Visual Basic. Net. The developed model accepts given probabilistic demographic information to make prediction. Data-mining warehouse was also developed to make population distribution decision, find hidden and relationship using SQLite database. This desktop application requires only data as input and not formulae. The system brings a multi-line user input interface which allows users to input five (5) or more data input (observations). These observations are employed by the new model to predict future values of demographic information. The software uses voice instruction to tell users how use the software.The resultof this paper is functional predictive demographic information in Anambra State.